The lack of success for Havertz, Werner and Haller this season made me think about how effective transfers have been from the Bundesliga and how we should assess them in the future. Here we look at some recent examples to assess their overall impact and risks/benefits going forward
How have Bundesliga imports fared in FPL?
Chelsea’s £72m transfer of Kai Havertz and £47.7m transfer of Timo Werner have hardly been an unqualified success to date despite how much Tuchel maybe talking up Havertz at the moment. West Ham’s £45m transfer of Sebatian Haller was an unmitgated disaster so are these just causing us recency bias or is there a problem with the Bundesliga players transferring to the Premier League in recent seasons.
Who have been the success stories?
We have to go back a few seasons to find the unquestionable sucess stories from the Bundesliga to the Premier League.
First up definitely is Kevin De Bruyne who arrived from Wolfsburg in the 15/16 season. The same season as Heung-Min Son came from Bayer Leverkusen. I would also rate Leroy Sane who arrived from Schalke in 16/17 as a success as well as Ilkay Gundogan who came from Borussia Dortmund in the same season.
The most recent sucess though for me would be Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang who also came from Borussia Dortmund in 17/18.
If I was really looking closely I would say that Caglar Soyuncu who came from Freiburg was a success in 18/19 as was Bernd Leno who came from Bayer Leverkusen in the same season.
However this is where it has ended. Does that mean the last 3 seasons have seen no successes?
What has happened in the last 3 seasons?
I mentioned above that Soyuncu and Leno were the success stories from the last 3 seasons even if there are small victories for the Bundesliga.
I have already mentioned Havertz and Werner. I feel that it’s a bit harsh to criticise Havertz considering he’s only 21 and has come to the Premier League, played in multiple positions and then had to recover from Covid. As far as Werner is concerned his is more of a case of just being unable to finish the chances that have come to him. History has shown him to be an unpredictable finisher but at the moment no player has underperformed their xG by more than Werner. Even allowing for that though his stats are miles behind those of his at Leipzig.
Haller is an extreme example of failure. He came at a heavy price tag from Freiburg where he came for £45m having scored 24 goals and 13 assists in 60 appearabces in the Bundesliga at a goal or assist every 122 minutes. In the Premier League for West Ham in 48 appearances he scored 10 goals and 2 assists for a goal or assist every 266 minutes. He left for Ajax in the January transfer window for a fee of £20m, a loss of £25m.
Another high profile failure has to be Newcastle forward Joelinton who came from Hoffenheim for a fee of £40m. In the Bundesliga in 29 appearances he scored 7 goals and 7 assists for a fairly modest goal or assist every 152 minutes. His record at Newcastle has seen 60 appearances for 3 goals and 4 assists for a goal or assist every 592 minutes. This has seen him removed from the attack at times and shunted our to the left exacerbating the problem.
Above I’ve talked about mainly attacking players but Sokratis who came Borussia Dortmund for £14m was a disaster for Arsenal and was shipped off to Oympiacos for £3m. Robin Koch joined Leeds for £11m in the summer before the 20/21 season but has not started a game since November.
Then there’s the seemingly perpetually injured club of Naby Keita for Liverpool, Andriy Yarmolenko for West Ham and Jean-Philippe Gbamin for Everton.
Lastly a word on Pulisic. His first season I would say was a success but this season he has struggled for form, injury and to get a place back in the Chelsea team. I’ll put him in the monitor category.
So what does this mean?
Personally I would think carefully before putting any attacking player in my fantasy premier league side or my paddy power fantasy football team especially those that come from the Bundesliga. They would have to be an established International or Champions League star such as De Bruyne or Aubameyang for me to consider a player before giving them time to bed in
#Bundesliga #imports #fared #FPL